NOAA Predicts Above-Normal Hurricane Season for 2025: Experts Weigh In

NOAA Predicts Above-Average 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released its outlook for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, predicting above-normal activity. The forecast anticipates 13 to 19 named storms, 6 to 10 hurricanes, and 3 to 5 major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher). This prediction is based on several factors, including the expected neutral El Niño conditions and warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in parts of the Atlantic Ocean. FOX Weather's hurricane specialist, Bryan Norcross, offered insights into the forecast. "It's a little surprising, honestly, the list they put there," Norcross stated, referencing the forecast's higher-than-average numbers. He also discussed the role of weaker-than-normal trade winds and the activity of the African monsoon in contributing to the prediction. Norcross compared NOAA's forecast to other predictions, noting similarities with those from Colorado State University. He emphasized that the numbers don't necessarily indicate the number of landfalling storms, but rather the overall number of storms expected to form in the Atlantic basin. While the forecast predicts an active season, NOAA also provided probabilities. There's a 60% chance of an above-average season, a 30% chance of a near-average season, and a 10% chance of a below-average season. This information underscores the importance of preparedness for coastal communities and travelers in the Atlantic region.