Election Surprise: Were the Philippine Midterm Polls Wrong?

Philippine Midterm Elections 2025: Did the Surveys Get it Wrong? The 2025 Philippine midterm elections have concluded, and the results are sparking debate about the accuracy of pre-election surveys. Rappler interviewed leading survey experts, including Ronnie Holmes (Pulse Asia), Ranjit Rye (Octa Research), and Cleve Arguelles (WR Numero), to gain their perspectives. Holmes stated, "It's not proper to say the surveys got it wrong...surveys are a snapshot in time." Rye echoed this sentiment, emphasizing that surveys are not predictions but reflections of public opinion at a specific point. The discussion highlighted the importance of understanding survey methodologies and the challenges in predicting election outcomes accurately. The experts also discussed the impact of these discrepancies on public trust in pre-election polling. This event underscores the need for continuous refinement of survey techniques and transparent communication of limitations to maintain public confidence.